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The Countdown

A bottom-to-top assessment of the F.B.S. landscape heading into the 2012 season.

P.S.R. Op-Ed

The Status Quo, Sherman, Isn’t Working

The bottom line is this: Texas A&M hasn’t had a team this good – this talented, from top to bottom – in more than a decade. A cursory look back at A&M’s recent past yields a few contenders, such as the Dennis Franchione-led team in 2006, which finished 9-4. That was a fine team, one that balanced a steady running game with an uncharacteristically stout defense, but that squad’s talent level pales in comparison to that put forth by the Aggies in 2011. That Mike Sherman compiled a solid percentage of this talent highlights one of his coaching strengths, but this fact also cuts to the heart of the matter: Sherman can reel in the talent, but this fall, he’s proved himself incapable of being the coach A&M needs him to be.

These are fearful days for a program that, in August, anticipated a return to the glory days. And rightfully so: Ryan Tannehill’s strong play in 2010 gave A&M a solid quarterback in a quarterback-heavy league; the Aggies had a one-two backfield punch to rival any team in the country; the offensive line, while young, had the makings of one of the nation’s best; and despite a few losses, the defense was expected to take another step forward in its second season in Tim DeRuyter’s system.

Instead of calling back the glory days of R.C. Slocum and Jackie Sherrill, this season has more closely resembled the stumble-filled Franchione era. It’s fitting, therefore, that Sherman’s tenure continues to be likened to his predecessor’s – it’s also fitting, in a ironic and unsatisfying way, that Sherman has been an even larger disappointment. Few thought that even possible.

Yet here lie the Aggies, knee deep in muck, mire and the resulting mess after last night’s disastrous loss to Texas, and there’s no choice but to turn the spotlight firmly onto Sherman and his future within the program. There’s no escaping one damning fact: given a sports car– this team’s talent and confidence – Sherman drove it right into a ditch.

His four-year mark currently stands at 25-25, two games worse than Franchione’s mark over the same span. After losing to the Longhorns, Sherman’s Big 12 mark stands three games under .500 at 15-18. His teams have lost 11 conference games by double-digits, lost at home to Arkansas State and have gone 1-3 against Texas.

Under his unsteady hand, A&M has been lapped by Oklahoma State. Any gap that has been closed with the Longhorns is clearly more a result of an unexpected lull in Austin, not a rise in competitiveness in College Station. While the results on the field may indicate otherwise, it seems as if A&M is treading water while Baylor’s arrow points upwards.

Sherman ability to identify, recruit and land title-level talent is not in question: he gave running back Christine Michael a shot when Texas wouldn’t and saw a future star in Ryan Swope when others saw a roster-filler, for example. But championships aren’t won on the recruiting trail. Games, and championships, are won between the white lines, and it’s here that Sherman has flashed the sort of game mismanagement that has led to six brutal second half collapses this fall.

Oklahoma State. Arkansas. Missouri. Oklahoma. Kansas State. And worst of all, Texas. It’s a graveyard of games lost in a most devastating fashion – when each seemed nearly impossible to loss, minus Oklahoma. Yet through them all, when A&M needed the sort of guidance it lacked, you could find Sherman in a familiar pose: nose-deep in his play sheet, seemingly in search of a place to hide.

The fear A&M feels isn’t merely that Sherman isn’t the right guy; it’s not the only program with such fears. The trepidation comes from the fact that come next August, A&M will be staring at a schedule that might feature L.S.U., Alabama and Arkansas, and that’s a threesome that will give heartburn to any program.

Is this the coach A&M needs to take on the SEC? Is this the coach A&M deserves as it prepares for life in the nation’s premier conference? Each question is timely. If Sherman doesn’t delegate offensive responsibility so as to free him up for more diligent in-game responsibilities, then yes, A&M needs a coach who can go toe-to-toe with a Saban, Miles or Petrino. The SEC isn’t kind to the overmatched and unprepared.

What does A&M deserve? Let’s put it thusly: if A&M was in the search for a new head coach, you’d see major coaches calling athletic director Bill Byrne personally – if he remains in place – to spell out their qualifications. A&M can tout premier facilities, a premier fan base, a fertile recruiting ground and, come August, a spot in the SEC. On paper, few jobs offer more.

A&M could do better. At this point in the program’s history, A&M should – and must – do better. Old dogs don’t learn new tricks: Sherman can hire an offensive coordinator and merely devote himself to timeouts, clock management and the like, but he won’t turn into Bear Bryant overnight – if ever.

Now’s not a time for the status quo, not when the status quo involves the sort of mediocrity and regret that has defined the 2011 season. The university is salivating at the idea of playing sports in the SEC; the SEC, the teams and coaches, is likewise salivating at the idea of landing an annual shot at the mismanaged Aggies.

Not in decades, especially with the SEC looming, has A&M seemed more removed from national contention. The team has talent but lacks coaching. Sherman has lined up across from some of the nation’s best – Stoops, Snyder, Pinkel and Petrino – and come up sorely lacking. This year’s disaster could snowball into something worse without making a painful admission: things are going wrong. In short, there are many meaningful reasons why A&M needs to alter the direction of its football program.

Unfortunately, here are three why it won’t: one, Byrne handed Sherman a contract extension and raise in July, bumping up his buyout; two, the university itself is in economic straits, as are many other institutions; and three, the school must devote some of its budget to the exit fees associated with leaving the Big 12.

Those three factors outweigh Sherman’s inefficiencies where it counts: the bottom line. All signs point toward his return in 2012, in short, unless the university allocates a significant chunk of change for the purpose of replacing Sherman. A&M would do so if it was serious about saving its fallen football program. Now watch the Aggies stand pat – and watch A&M get pushed around in the SEC.

You can also follow Paul Myerberg and Pre-Snap Read on Twitter.

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Comments

  1. Parker says:

    Hi Paul

    A&M’s football tradition is mostly derived from ill-gotten gains. The Aggies went to 1 Cotton Bowl between World War II and the 1980s when they hired the biggest cheat in college football (Jackie Sherrill).

    Sherrill started paying the inner city kids at Houston Yates and Dallas Carter, etc. to come to redneck Bryan, Texas. Those kids didn’t have A&M on the radar before Sherrill showed them the money.

    And so A&M started winning. And built their fan base. And expanded their stadium.

    Since they got rid of Sherrill and his protoge RC Slocum, the Aggies have simply reverted back to what they always were before the rampant cheating began — relatively talented underachivers. Competitive but not champions.

    Dennis Franchione and Mike Sherman are excellent football coaches. If they can’t get it done in College Station in the Big 12 with all those resources, the Aggies are going to find it tough sledding in the SEC with whoever they decide to hire to replace Sherman.

  2. Wayne says:

    Speaking of coaches on the hot seat, it seems like it’s been a while since we had a 2011 Locksley column (beginning of November if I’m not mistaken). Has it just been put on the back burner with everything else going on or has it been officially dropped?

  3. Burnt Orange says:

    The athletic department budget cratered in the past decade due to a combination of dreadful non conference scheduling, a mediocre product on the field and mismanagement. Attendance was at about 74,000 per game as recently as two years ago. This while Texas is averaging close to 100,000.

    Then mix in some of Rick Perry’s trademark cronyism ( Perry appointed his chief of staff McKinney as Chancellor. Sherman had recruited McKinney’s sons to play at A&M when Sherman was an Aggie assistant. So McKinney hires Sherman without interviewing another candidate and gives him a 7 year deal recently extended.) The result is a financial mess.

    I agree with Paul – they have no choice finacially but to keep Sherman. But they are under enormous pressure to win in the SEC. If they get embarrassed, attendance and revenue will drop again. They will go into the league with an inexperienced qb, under coached OL ( that really showed last night ), etc. Thus the only realistic option is a staff upgrade.

    They need to hire Chad Morris ( A&M grad) away from Clemson to run the offense and groom him to replace Sherman. Hire Wade Phillips to run the defense. Otherwise, they are in for a very tough transition. If they stand pat, name one SEC school other than Kentucky and perhaps Ole Miss ( let’s see who they hire) with worse coaching.

  4. Burnt Orange says:

    Okay one other than Ky, Ole Miss, and Tenn.

  5. Noefli says:

    This is clearly the Longhorn Network’s fault.

  6. Ol' Rock says:

    Burnt Orange, all notable points. I’d have to agree with you on the Perry thing most of all, as much of a hand as he has in the horns business it seems at times that he may as well be the chancellor/ on the Board of Regents at times at A&M. As for the issue at hand of Sherman and his job I’ll say this; Sherman will keep his job next year if for no other reason than what Paul said NCAA is all about money now. I will also say this, I wouldn’t be THAT surprised if Sherman finds himself with an OC next year. There was a strong sense of Joe Kines being our DC heading into last year….then we got the upstart of Deruyter. So, as an aggie fan all we can do now is sit, wait, and hope that Perry is too distracted by his run to the Whitehouse to throw his weight around. And no one asked but, my ideal head coach would be the one who looked like he was about to be fired from the Houston Texans last year, former student, Gary Kubiak.

  7. Dr. Nick says:

    The 2nd half collapses reek of poor coaching and frankly A&M can do better than .500, however I would be cautious about changing coaches in a year where A&M would be at best the 3rd most desirable job (behind Ohio State and Penn State). This year A&M would have to go for a top-flight but unproven assistant (ask Florida how that’s going for them), a moderately hot lower-tier head coach, or an NFL re-tread like Sherman. Those are risky options and with Sherman you at least will keep pulling in and developing top talent.

  8. Burnt Orange says:

    @ Ol’ Rock – always liked Kubiak – probably my favorite Aggie qb next to Edd Hargett. I actually thought about mentioning him in my post as who they ought to hire if they dumped Sherman. The fact that he has so little college experience is the main detriment. On the other hand, his teams protect the ball and do not commit many penalties which are the two statistical measures that I think you have to start with in reviewing any coach. It’s not any coincidence that Alabama, Wisconsin, etc do so well in these categories.

    @ Dr. Nick, agree that it will be a particularly tough year to land a top flight coach. The mid level guy I like is Dave Christiansen at Wyoming. Does a lot with a little.

    The coordinator that I am convinced will be a great head coach is Manny Diaz. Just hoping he will stay at Texas till Mack retires. He is only 37, and a major program willing to take a chance could land their coach for the next 20 years.

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