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The Countdown

A bottom-to-top assessment of the F.B.S. landscape heading into the 2012 season.

Weekly Rankings

P.S.R. 1-120: Week 8 Re-Ranking

With the weekend in the books, here’s a look at how the country ranks — using the original rankings as the starting point, with the season’s results as rationale for any movement. The top 25 teams land a one-sentence breakdown. The rest? Not so much. Part of the perks of being one of the best. Think your team is too low? Feel another team deserves more credit, less credit? Let’s hear it below. It’s a delicate ranking process, but with more than a month in the books, things are growing clearer.

The Top 25

1. Alabama (7-0, 4-0)
The Rebels never — not for one second — had a chance.
2. L.S.U. (7-0, 4-0)
There was no need for an extra play against Tennessee this year.
3. Oklahoma (6-0, 3-0)
Oklahoma didn’t look terrific against Kansas, but who cares?
4. Boise State (6-0, 1-0)
New conference, same result: Boise went to town.
5. Wisconsin (6-0, 2-0)
Only against Indiana would 59 points seem low.
6. Stanford (6-0, 4-0)
Six wins, none by less than 27 points.
7. Oklahoma State (6-0, 3-0)
O.S.U. won by 12 in Austin, but it wasn’t a great performance.
8. Clemson (7-0, 4-0)
The Tigers flirt with disaster just a bit too much for comfort.
9. Oregon (5-1, 3-0)
In the Pac-12, there’s Oregon and Stanford then everyone else.
10. Arkansas (5-1, 1-1)
Can easily see Razorbacks cruise into L.S.U. at 10-1.
11. Virginia Tech (6-1, 2-1)
The Hokies move back into A.C.C. Coastal driver’s seat.
12. Kansas State (6-0, 3-0)
We need to pay attention to what’s happening in Manhattan?
13. South Carolina (6-1, 4-1)
The Gamecocks win the game but lose their Heisman contender.
14. Michigan State (5-1, 2-0)
“Little brother” notched its fourth straight win over Michigan.
15. West Virginia (5-1, 1-0)
Can any team in the Big East hang with West Virginia?
16. Nebraska (5-1, 1-1)
The Cornhuskers’ bye continues this weekend with Minnesota.
17. Penn State (6-1, 3-0)
Yeah, the defense is absolutely national title caliber.
18. Houston (6-0, 2-0)
The Cougars get back on the field against Marshall on Saturday.
19. Michigan (6-1, 2-1)
For much of Michigan’s senior class, four losses to the Spartans.
20. Washington (5-1, 3-0)
Next comes Stanford, and this one may be very interesting.
21. Texas A&M (4-2, 2-1)
A&M avoided its fairly typical second-half collapse.
22. Auburn (5-2, 3-1)
The Tigers have sandwiched a bad loss with two good wins.
23. Illinois (6-1, 2-1)
It was just a matter of time for Zook and the Illini.
24. Georgia Tech (6-1, 3-1)
Teams seem to handle Tech better after a bye week.
25. Arizona State (5-2, 3-1)
The Sun Devils are good, but not a real Pac-12 favorite.

The Rest

26. Georgia (5-2, 4-1)
27. U.S.C. (5-1, 3-1)
28. Notre Dame (4-2, 0-0)
29. S.M.U. (5-1, 3-0)
30. Texas (4-2, 1-2)
31. T.C.U. (4-2, 2-0)
32. Cincinnati (5-1, 1-0)
33. Florida (4-3, 2-3)
34. Southern Mississippi (5-1, 1-1)
35. North Carolina (5-2, 1-2)
36. Baylor (4-2, 1-2)
37. Wake Forest (4-2, 3-1)
38. Florida State (3-3, 1-2)
39. Ohio State (4-3, 1-2)
40. Rutgers (5-1, 2-0)
41. B.Y.U. (5-2, 0-0)
42. Iowa (4-2, 1-1)
43. Miami (Fla.) (3-3, 1-2)
44. San Diego State (4-2, 1-1)
45. Louisiana-Lafayette (6-1, 4-0)
46. Texas Tech (4-2, 1-2)
47. Virginia (4-2, 1-1)
48. Missouri (3-3, 1-2)
49. Toledo (4-3, 3-0)
50. Tennessee (3-3, 0-3)
51. Temple (5-2, 3-1)
52. South Florida (4-2, 0-2)
53. Air Force (3-3, 0-2)
54. Utah (3-3, 0-3)
55. Tulsa (3-3, 2-0)
56. Syracuse (4-2, 0-1)
57. Northern Illinois (4-3, 2-1)
58. Vanderbilt (3-3, 1-3)
59. Western Michigan (4-3, 2-1)
60. U.C.F. (3-3, 1-1)
61. Mississippi State (3-4, 0-4)
62. Navy (2-4, 0-0)
63. Nevada (3-3, 1-0)
64. U.C.L.A. (3-3, 2-1)
65. N.C. State (3-3, 0-2)
66. California (3-3, 0-3)
67. Washington State (3-3, 1-2)
68. Northwestern (2-4, 0-3)
69. Pittsburgh (3-4, 1-1)
70. Iowa State (3-3, 0-3)
71. Connecticut (3-4, 1-1)
72. Florida International (4-2, 1-1)
73. Arkansas State (4-2, 2-0)
74. Purdue (3-3, 1-1)
75. Ball State (4-3, 2-1)
76. Duke (3-3, 1-1)
77. Marshall (3-4, 2-1)
78. Fresno State (3-4, 2-0)
79. East Carolina (2-4, 2-1)
80. Ohio (4-3, 1-2)
81. Maryland (2-4, 1-2)
82. Army (2-4, 0-0)
83. Louisiana Tech (2-4, 1-1)
84. Wyoming (4-2, 1-0)
85. Louisville (2-4, 0-1)
86. Mississippi (2-4, 0-3)
87. UTEP (3-3, 1-2)
88. San Jose State (3-4, 2-1)
89. Hawaii (3-3, 1-1)
90. Colorado State (3-3, 1-1)
91. Utah State (2-3, 0-1)
92. Kentucky (2-4, 0-3)
93. Troy (2-4, 1-2)
94. Miami (Ohio) (2-4, 1-1)
95. Eastern Michigan (4-3, 2-1)
96. Rice (2-4, 1-2)
97. New Mexico State (3-3, 1-1)
98. Bowling Green (3-4, 1-2)
99. La.-Monroe (2-4, 1-1)
100. Oregon State (1-5, 1-2)
101. Colorado (1-6, 0-3)
102. Kansas (2-4, 0-3)
103. Arizona (1-5, 0-4)
104. North Texas (2-5, 1-2)
105. Boston College (1-5, 0-3)
106. Western Kentucky (2-4, 2-1)
107. Buffalo (2-5, 1-2)
108. Central Michigan (2-5, 1-3)
109. Middle Tennessee (1-4, 0-2)
110. Tulane (2-5, 0-2)
111. Indiana (1-6, 0-3)
112. U.N.L.V. (1-5, 0-1)
113. Minnesota (1-5, 0-2)
114. Idaho (1-6, 0-3)
115. U.A.B. (0-6, 0-2)
116. Kent State (1-6, 0-3)
117. Akron (1-5, 0-1)
118. Florida Atlantic (0-6, 0-3)
119. Memphis (1-6, 0-3)
120. New Mexico (0-6, 0-1)

Three noteworthy jumps

Northern Illinois 31 spots (No. 88 to No. 57)
San Jose State 13 spots (No. 101 to No. 88)
Michigan State 10 spots (No. 24 to No. 14)

Three noteworthy tumbles

Hawaii 33 spots (No. 56 to No. 89)
Troy 22 spots (No. 71 to No. 93)
Air Force 12 spots (No. 41 to No. 53)

Previous rankings

Week 7 rankings Alabama, No. 1
Week 6 rankings Alabama, No. 1
Week 5 rankings Alabama, No. 1
Week 4 rankings Alabama, No. 1
Week 3 rankings Alabama, No. 1
Week 2 rankings Alabama, No. 1
The preseason list is on the right sidebar.

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Comments

  1. BobJ says:

    They’re back! It’s the Bob Rankings, my formula-based evaluation of F.B.S. football. Remember, this is the result of a formula. I don’t put my opinion into the results. Also, it’s still a bit early. Easy non-conference games still dominate the rankings.

    1. Alabama
    2. (tie) Stanford
    2. (tie) Wisconsin
    4. LSU
    5. Oklahoma
    6. Boise State
    7. Oklahoma State
    8. Clemson
    9. Oregon
    10. Houston

    Houston!!?? Well, the formula likes winning. Like I said, it’s early.

  2. Dave says:

    BobJ –

    If non-conference games dominate the rankings, how on earth do Wisconsin’s wins over Oregon State and UNLV trump LSU’s wins over Oregon and West Virginia? Also, while they’re both undefeated, LSU has an additional game/win. You may want to tweak that formula.

  3. m (Ag) says:

    I don’t like to defend Baylor, but at the moment they should be ahead of TCU.

    Both Baylor and SMU edged TCU and were blown out by A&M.

    Otherwise, none of those 3 teams have a particularly noteworthy win on their schedule to differentiate the schools. Baylor’s 1 point loss to the team you have ranked #12 (KSU) is actually a credit to them.

  4. JPH says:

    Good to see Toledo gaining some traction after getting into MAC play. First in the MAC West and gunning for the rest of the schedule despite rampant injuries. Go Rockets!

  5. schedule nit says:

    Dave; Bob’s formula *loves* blowouts. Doesn’t matter who you beat, if you don’t beat them by 30 it seems to not count at all.

    Paul; your sun belt rankings look off. Louisianna-Monroe just woodshedded Troy yet are ranked behind them. Louisianna-Lafayette is probably ranked over their heads at #45 and should be closer to Arkansas State around the 70s. That’s good for a Sun Belt team.

    I still say you are over-rating Memphis. The Green Wave is going to roll them like a drunken dandy trying to play chess on Canal Street.

  6. BobJ says:

    Dave-
    The formula is based on asking whom did you beat and by how much (up to a limit)? “How much” gets assigned when the game is over, but the “who” factor, based on won/loss records, builds as the season progresses. Those two factors were designed so that when the maximum credit is given to each one, they have the same value.

    That’s why non-conference wins, which often get the maximum credit for score differential, dominate at this point in the season. Won/loss records haven’t had the time yet to become a balancing factor.

    Don’t worry about LSU. They’ll get full credit for those wins against Oregon and West Virginia by the end of the season.

    Like I said, it’s early. This is the fourth year I’ve been running the formula, and at the end of every year before this, it provided results that were comparable to the other ranking systems.

    The formula currently shows:

    Texas A&M – 18
    SMU – 27
    Baylor – 32 (tie)
    TCU – 32 (tie)
    La-Lafayette – 40
    Toledo – 44
    La-Monroe – 92
    Troy – 101
    Tulane – 112
    Memphis – 119

  7. schedule nit says:

    Memphis way too high again, Bob!

  8. michael says:

    i hate to be the one to point this out, but Ole Miss went into bulldog stadium and beat Fresno State by ten two weeks ago; they’re ranked 86th to Fresno State’s 78. I would be happy to see the bulldogs ranked high, but i’ll need to see them top UNR next weekend first

  9. RjTheMetalhead says:

    ECU moving up! Weeeeeee!
    But we should be lower and SMU a little higher.
    Memphis should be 120.

  10. bayzing says:

    And why do you have BYU ranked #41… 12 spots ahead of UTAH who absolutely destroyed them just four weeks ago?

    Let me remind you… Utah now plays in the PAC-12… their losses are to teams at the top of the conference.

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