Do You Believe in Karma?
By Paul Myerberg // Nov 1, 2011
I don’t want to say it. I don’t want to say it because it’s a bit ridiculous, unless you believe in that sort of thing. But the idea was floated about after Wisconsin’s second straight heartbreaking loss, with Ohio State’s late heave joining Michigan State’s desperation Hail Mary: karma. The Badgers, and Bret Bielema in particular, were getting their comeuppance for the various forms of unwritten-rule dastardly deeds a season ago. Do you buy that?
Among the malfeasances? There was Wisconsin going for two against Minnesota when ahead 41-19 with 6:39 left in the fourth quarter. For that, Bielema was chastised by then-Minnesota coach Tim Brewster at midfield and by the media in the week or so that followed.
There’s running up the score then there’s really running up the score, such as many felt Wisconsin did in last year’s 83-20 win against Indiana. The Badgers did attempt only three passes in the fourth quarter, even if one was a 74-yard touchdown pass from Jon Budmayr to Jared Abbrederis. But 83 points? The Badgers had to be running it up, many felt.
There may be a God, but there are no football gods. I promise you that. There is no karma in football. I’m pretty sure of that. But…
I can’t remember another nationally-recognized program that has suffered two such debilitating losses in back-to-back weeks. Losing once, such as the Badgers did against Michigan State, was karma enough, in my mind — if such a thing exists, mind you.
Losing twice, with the second loss nearly as painful as the first? It may have been more painful, in fact: Braxton Miller completed seven passes all night, doing more damage with his legs, but his fluttering 40-yard heave with 20 seconds left broke the Badgers’ hearts in a way Kirk Cousins never could.
So long, Rose Bowl. Not officially… yet. But you need a magnifying glass to find Wisconsin’s road to the Big Ten title game; those at-large dreams are yes, officially over. The Badgers need to win out, beating Penn State head-to-head, and would need the Nittany Lions to lose at least once in other conference action.
The Badgers need to win out and have Ohio State lose at least once the rest of the way. It doesn’t sound like much, but consider that Penn State is already 5-0 in the Big Ten, remember, and that defense is as good as it gets. And the Buckeyes have two things on their side: one, that they own the head-to-head tiebreaker, and two, they continue to improve on a weekly basis.
So maybe you don’t need a magnifying glass — you do need a map, however. More than anything, you need a rational explanation as to how a team can go from the national title driver’s seat to successive gut-punch losses to behind the eight ball in the Rose Bowl chase. Is this just college football at its most random?
These losses do happen. They don’t often happen in back-to-back weeks, but they do happen. And sometimes, though not often, they happen to the same team. And karma? Ask Bob Stoops and Oklahoma about karma: in 2008, his Sooners threw early, late and often in scoring an N.C.A.A.-record 716 points.
Then came 2009: injuries before the season, in the season opener and throughout. Karma, perhaps? Depends if you believe. But like Wisconsin over the last two weeks, Oklahoma’s unforeseeable turn of events couldn’t be explained.
So maybe it’s karma. Maybe it’s wrong place, wrong time — times two. Maybe it’s just bad luck? And maybe, just maybe, it’s a matter of a team that plays one way at home and another on the road. That seems like the most logical solution. But karma… you almost need to believe that there’s a higher power governing college football’s rights and wrongs.
And if there is, can He take a glance at the B.C.S.?
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Tags: Bob Stoops, Braxton Miller, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Rose Bowl, Wisconsin
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Huh, so Oklahoma scored late in 2008? Yeah, why let facts get in the way of a good story. OU was outscored in the 4th quarter of their regular season games in 2008. But good job falling for the “they ran it up!” narrative Texas tried to push in their attempt to win the ranking tiebreaker (Texas was actually considerably more guilty of running of the score late that year. Was 2010 a delayed karma for them?)
Paul: You’re right… in part. Oklahoma attempted 95 passes in the fourth quarter in 2008, down from a high of 160 attempts in the second quarter. So you’re right. But the Sooners did throw touchdown passes when up 38 and 44 points against Texas Tech, when up 28 and 35 points against Nebraska, when up 34 and 41 points on Washington and when up 25 points on Cincinnati. Now, a few of those scores came in the third quarter. So in that sense, I stand corrected. But only an Oklahoma fan would say that the Sooners didn’t try to add up passing totals late in lopsided games.
So the Big East must have done something TERRIBLE to be in the situation they are. Maybe revenge for all those good basketball teams…
I don’t know about Karma. I think it’s more a matter of recklessness. Such behavior tends to circle back on itself. I also think Ohio State has decided it’s not going to lie down like people thought they would and I think Bielema has problems preparing his teams for the road. I do agree he purposely runs up the score to make his team look better to voters/computers/whatever and I really don’t think it gets you anywhere in the long run. Hopefully he’ll mature as a coach and understand that.
Beliema’s scoring aggression put Wiscy in the Rose Bowl last year over Michigan State (who beat them head-to-head and shared the Big Ten title with them), because voters surely were more enamored with his mega boxscores than with Mich. State winning by regular totals.
I’m not sure it’s as tough as you seem to think. Penn State and Ohio State play each other, so one of them will knock off the other. Penn State also has to play Nebraska, and Ohio State Michigan, so I can easily imagine Penn State with 2-3 losses in November and Ohio State with 1-2. As much as I (Husker fan) hate to say it, I think the most likely matchup for the conference championship is Michigan State-Wisconsin.
In the comments section to your pre season Badger preview, one intrepid reader remarked that tha Badgers were acting uncharacteristically in bringing in Wilson and thus invoking bad karma.
I think Bielema’s antics are entertaining, to say the least. I wish my favorite team’s coach showed at least half the heart. The problem with the Badgers is the defense, obviously. I don’t know that I can blame it on karma, because the d was pretty suspect last year too.